The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price
$12.34
Quoted text as recorded“the next big thing for Lucid, which could be tested tomorrow, is going to be that 50-day moving average sitting at 1234.”@ 7:23 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 22, 2026
- Extracted deadline
- Jan 23, 2026
- Stored reference price
- $11.47
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $11.06
- Direction-adjusted price move
- -3.6%
- Notes
- The full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $11.06; 0% of the distance toward $12.34. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
A comparison of price observations, not a trading return. Excludes fees, dividends, spread and execution costs.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is up 3.53% on broader market optimism plus PIF reaffirmation news via Canaccord analyst Andre Shepard, who confirmed PIF remains committed to Lucid long-term. A new 2x short ETF on LCID launched suspiciously during the rally, which the speaker sees as manipulation but notes the cost to borrow (245%) makes it impractical for retail. Two consecutive days above the 10-day moving average set up a potential test of the 50-day MA at $12.34. The speaker identifies $9.50 as the confirmed floor having called it weeks earlier.
Key arguments
- PIF confirmed as committed long-term via Canaccord (Andre Shepard) analyst note
- Lucid up 3.53% — two consecutive days above 10-day MA signals confirmed trend
- 50-day moving average at $12.34 is the next key technical target
- New 2x short ETF on LCID launched during rally — timing seen as suspicious
- Speaker previously called $9.50 as floor — confirmed as accurate in hindsight
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- New 2x short ETF adds a new tool for bears to suppress the stock
- Algorithmic trading still the primary volume source — genuine buying is secondary
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 22, 2026, 6:29 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-18.1
- Outcome reason code
- deadline_missed_ohlc
Recent record changes 7 shown
Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
deadline missed ohlc
- Evaluation kind
BeforeNot recorded
Aftertouch
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-15.1
After2026-10-18.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
BeforeNot recorded
After-3.57
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-16
After2026-01-23
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
AfterThe full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $11.06; 0% of the distance toward $12.34. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
- Outcome observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-01-23T00:00:00+00:00
- Outcome price
BeforeNot recorded
After11.06
- Outcome price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily_ohlc
- Outcome reason
BeforeInsufficient price coverage
AfterDeadline missed ohlc
- Outcome status
Beforeunverifiable
Aftermiss
Oct 16, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.5
After2026-10-15.1
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-06
After2026-10-16
Oct 6, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC
insufficient price coverage
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After11.47
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-01-21T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome explanation
BeforeNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
AfterThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
- Outcome reason
BeforeMissing reference price
AfterInsufficient price coverage
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
missing reference price
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-3.57
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before11.47
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-01-23
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $12.34. Price: $11.06.
AfterNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
- Outcome price
Before11.06
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterMissing reference price
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- $11.47
- Jan 21, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
- Target as extracted
- $12.34
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jan 23, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Jan 23, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- $11.06
- Jan 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · yahoo_daily_ohlc
Stored explanation
The full target was not reached in 2 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $11.06; 0% of the distance toward $12.34. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.