The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$25
Said $2.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“last 5 10 15 minutes or whatever else during Power Hour you're going to see shorts light up like fire and try to suppress it below that point”@ 4:43 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 21, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Jun 21, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- high
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is down 2.36% with very low volume and institutional selling. The speaker explains that market makers are actively suppressing Lucid below $2.50 because there is 177,000 in open interest at that strike — closing above it would force market makers to buy 1.7 million shares in the open market. The speaker predicts shorts will light up during power hour to ensure a close below $2.50. The chart is technically broken and trending downward without a clear catalyst.
Key arguments
- 177,000 open interest at $2.50 strike — market makers are suppressing the stock below this level
- If Lucid closes above $2.50, market makers must buy 1.7M shares from open market — they want to avoid this
- Stochastic shows bearish deviation at oversold levels — technically broken chart
- Institutions are mostly selling — overwhelming bid-side activity in recent days
- Only one secondary market transaction today (above $100K) and it was a buy — not enough to offset selling
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Speaker himself bought small amount at $2.50 limit — sees value at these levels
- Rate cuts and Gravity remain longer-term catalysts
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 21, 2024, 3:00 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:34 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before0
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before24.9
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-06-21
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$25 reached. Price: $24.90. Return: 0.0%.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before24.9
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
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Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.50
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jun 21, 2024
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.