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ElfBeauty (ELF)

The call, on record

ELF bullish call

Recorded from Financial Education’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.
ELFBullNot scored
Financial EducationFinancial Education

Target range as extracted

$100–$140

AI-extracted record · awaiting moderator review. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“I think this stock exits this year worst case scenario in my opinion 100 best case scenario 140 and that's exiting this year.”@ 29:21 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
Aug 18, 2026
Timeframe
exiting this year
Extracted deadline
Dec 31, 2026
Interpreted confidence
medium
Specificity
specific

Why this call is unscored

Status
Not scored
Notes
The source describes a price or range at a future endpoint. An earlier target crossing does not establish that terminal state; endpoint and equality/range semantics require review before scoring.

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Evidence and source

Big market move has STARTED‼️
Published on Aug 18, 2026@ 29:21Open on YouTube

Our summary of the thesis

Bullish

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

ELF has cleaned up prior tariff-related margin drama and successfully integrated the Rhode acquisition, driving the stock up sharply from $49 in early June to $92. The host sees continued upside into year-end.

Key arguments

  • Tariff drama that hurt margins has resolved
  • Rhode acquisition integration is well done
  • Stock up 65% over the past 3 months, from $49 to $92

Hedges and caveats (from the video)

  • Host presents both bullish and bearish perspectives on Meta without making a directional call
  • Past performance metrics cited (3-month returns) are historical observations, not predictions
  • Video promises to explain 'why' stocks have moved but does not predict future direction
  • Host frames analysis as educational explanation of market movements rather than investment recommendations

About this record

Not yet reviewed by a moderator

AI-extracted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
Aug 18, 2026, 11:48 PM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Aug 19, 2026, 6:18 AM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Not recorded
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
claude-sonnet-5
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Extraction pipeline version
v1.0.0
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-06.5
Outcome reason code
unsupported_terminal_state
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 6 shown

  1. Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  2. Oct 6, 2026, 5:39 AM UTC

    corrected

    Source moment (seconds)

    BeforeNot recorded

    After1761

  3. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC

    unsupported terminal state

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before8.84

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before93.66

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference observation time

    Before2026-08-17T23:59:59.999+00:00

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price source

    Beforeyahoo_daily

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-08-21

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeTarget ≥$100 reached by an observed price on 2026-08-21T23:59:59.999Z. Price: $101.94. Direction-adjusted price change: 8.8%.

    AfterThe source describes a price or range at a future endpoint. An earlier target crossing does not establish that terminal state; endpoint and equality/range semantics require review before scoring.

    Outcome observation time

    Before2026-08-21T23:59:59.999+00:00

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome price

    Before101.94

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome price source

    Beforeyahoo_daily

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeTarget observed

    AfterUnsupported terminal state

    Outcome status

    Beforehit

    Afterunverifiable

  5. Oct 6, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC

    target observed

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    BeforeNot recorded

    After8.84

    Reference price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After93.66

    Reference observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-08-17T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Reference price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Recorded outcome date

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-08-21

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeThe stated window is still open, but a valid reference observation is not yet available. Previous scores are withdrawn while evidence is collected.

    AfterTarget ≥$100 reached by an observed price on 2026-08-21T23:59:59.999Z. Price: $101.94. Direction-adjusted price change: 8.8%.

    Outcome observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-08-21T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Outcome price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After101.94

    Outcome price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Outcome reason

    BeforeAwaiting price evidence

    AfterTarget observed

    Outcome status

    Beforepending

    Afterhit

  6. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    awaiting price evidence

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterThe stated window is still open, but a valid reference observation is not yet available. Previous scores are withdrawn while evidence is collected.

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterAwaiting price evidence

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 7 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Methodology and limitationsReport a correction
Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded
Target as extracted
$100–$140
Stated deadline as extracted
Dec 31, 2026
Recorded outcome date
Oct 6, 2026
Outcome price observation
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded

Stored explanation

The source describes a price or range at a future endpoint. An earlier target crossing does not establish that terminal state; endpoint and equality/range semantics require review before scoring.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.

Why we interpreted the confidence this way

Specific bracketed price range with a year-end timeframe, tempered by 'in my opinion' hedge.

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