The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$36.40
Said $3.64· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I myself I see it roughly around probably uh Above This R2 so that $364 but because of everything you might see some volatility it might drag it back down”@ 10:59 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Feb 23, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Feb 28, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker is cautiously optimistic heading into Lucid's Q4 earnings week, noting the implied move of 13.61% and seeing the Gravity launch and production targets as key drivers. Strong future guidance — ideally 25,000+ production and Gravity specifics — is the critical requirement to break the historical pattern of 90% post-earnings declines. Options bulls are targeting $4-$4.50 for the week.
Key arguments
- Implied earnings move of 13.61% signals high volatility; options bulls targeting $4-$4.50
- Gravity success is foundational — it lays the groundwork for touring variant, midsize platform
- Future guidance is make-or-break; historically Lucid has missed this 90% of the time
- Shorts returning leading into earnings signals possible short squeeze if guidance surprises
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- 90% of prior earnings resulted in stock declines due to vague future guidance
- Analyst coverage of Lucid has been declining
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Feb 23, 2025, 2:45 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-20.14
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before27.8
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-28
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $36.4. Price: $22.20.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before22.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.64
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Feb 28, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.