The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$40
Said $4· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“of the call options that are being purchased roughly around $4 is anticipated”@ 6:12 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 16, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The Canadian Gravity pricing announcement (Touring at CAD $113,500, Grand Touring at $134,500) represents a significant improvement over prior 10-15% currency markup surcharge that deterred Canadian customers. The speaker personally disclosed this makes him want to buy more Lucid shares — a rare personal sentiment signal. Shorts returning 847K shares is the 'middle finger to shorts' the market has been waiting for. A large $1.34M put sold at $2.50 strike for January 2026 is interpreted as net bullish (income-generating strategy). Options consensus around $4 for near-term strikes emerging for the first time in a while.
Key arguments
- Canadian Gravity pricing at/below fair currency conversion removes prior 10-15% deterrent for Canadian buyers
- Speaker personally disclosed buying more LCID based on this news — high conviction signal
- Shorts returning 847K shares second consecutive day adds buy pressure
- Options consensus coalescing around $4 target for near-term — first time in a while
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Large $2.50 put sold for Jan 2026 is technically bearish in orientation despite income rationale
- February 28 (earnings) options chain still has limited activity — earnings uncertainty persists
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 16, 2025, 8:02 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-25
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before30.8
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-04-16
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $40. Price: $23.10.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before23.1
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $4
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.