The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$20.75
Said $2.08· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I do feel that we will be kind of between this S1 and this S2. to between 205 and 210 and that would largely be because of just what's happening kind of in the Middle East”@ 6:50 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 22, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Jun 27, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid's technicals are weak (below all key moving averages) but short-term volatility is dominated by macro events including Middle East tensions and Fed speakers. The speaker sees limited upside unless Lucid releases operational news, and anticipates a dip to the $205–$210 range in the near term.
Key arguments
- Lucid is trading below its 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages, indicating poor technicals
- Geopolitical risk from US strikes on Iran is dampening risk appetite across markets
- High short interest (~30.74% of float) is a headwind but cost-to-borrow rising could create a natural deterrent
- Lucid benefits when it releases news, as algorithmic trading picks up on it and pushes price higher
- Without news, Lucid is at the mercy of macro forces and algorithmic selling
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Lucid is holding up relatively well compared to other growth stocks given macro headwinds
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 22, 2025, 4:40 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before1.85
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before21.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-06-27
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 47% progress toward target $20.75. Price: $21.20.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before21.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.08
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jun 27, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.