The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$20.60
Said $2.06· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“next goal is to really break it below this 206”@ 6:22 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Mar 16, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is participating at NVIDIA GTC 2025 with a booth but not a formal presentation, which is a missed opportunity to showcase their NVIDIA-powered DreamDrive technology. Shorts increased 1.93M shares and appear to be targeting a technical breakdown below $2.06 support. The speaker also floats a speculative Tesla acquisition idea as potentially mutually beneficial.
Key arguments
- Lucid has NVIDIA GTC 2025 booth but not a formal presentation slot, a missed PR opportunity
- Shorts increasing aggressively (1.93M on Friday alone) with apparent goal of breaking $2.06 technical support
- With macro data week ahead (Fed decision, retail sales), technical movement likely to dominate
- Speculative Tesla acquisition of Lucid could give Lucid access to scale and Tesla access to luxury/tech licensing
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Stock is below all key pivotal moving averages with no near-term positive technicals
- Many partnership rumors (Apple, Hyundai) have historically not materialized
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Mar 16, 2025, 1:45 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before2.78
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before21.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-06-14
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Moved 60% toward target $20.6. Price: $21.00.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before21
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforepartial
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.06
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.