
The call, on record
LCID neutral call
Target range as extracted
$1.99–
Quoted text as recorded“we will be closing between this S probably this S2 and this S3. So between that 205 and a $1.99.”@ 6:08 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 15, 2025
- Timeframe
- this upcoming week
- Extracted deadline
- Jun 20, 2025
- Stored reference price
- $21
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $21.90
- Notes
- The exact final regular-session close on 2025-06-20 was $21.90; the source required a close inside the inclusive $19.9–$20.5 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is below all key moving averages and Elliott Wave technicals project a $1.90 target. With the Fed decision on Wednesday, potential Middle East escalation, and no specific Lucid catalysts this week, the speaker expects a close between $1.99 and $2.05 and believes things need to get worse before they get better.
Key arguments
- Lucid is below all key moving averages — technically a vicious downtrend
- Elliott Wave technicals project a target of ~$1.90
- Fed rate decision on Wednesday likely to be a hold; Powell commentary could add volatility
- Middle East tensions between Israel and Iran are escalating, suppressing risk appetite
- Short interest at 30.57% of float; shorts recently doubling down
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If China deal or Middle East resolution materializes, Lucid could snap back quickly given oversold status
- Bulls in options market anticipating a recovery toward $2.50
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 15, 2025, 4:59 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-18.1
- Outcome reason code
- endpoint_close_miss
Recent record changes 7 shown
Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
endpoint close miss
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-18.1
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After21
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-06-13T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Recorded outcome date
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-06-20
- Outcome explanation
BeforeRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.
AfterThe exact final regular-session close on 2025-06-20 was $21.90; the source required a close inside the inclusive $19.9–$20.5 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
- Outcome observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-06-20T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Outcome price
BeforeNot recorded
After21.9
- Outcome price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome reason
BeforeClaim changed
AfterEndpoint close miss
- Outcome status
Beforepending
Aftermiss
Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
corrected
- Moderator review status
Beforeunreviewed
Afterapproved
- Reviewed at
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-18T08:49:16.792053+00:00
Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
claim changed
- Direction
Beforebear
Afterneutral
- Evaluation kind
BeforeNot recorded
Afterclose_range
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.5
AfterNot recorded
- Source quote
BeforeI do feel that we will be closing between this S probably this S2 and this S3. So between that 205 and a $1.99
Afterwe will be closing between this S probably this S2 and this S3. So between that 205 and a $1.99.
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-06
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
AfterRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.
- Outcome reason
BeforeUnsupported close semantics
AfterClaim changed
- Moderator review status
Beforeapproved
Afterunreviewed
- Reviewed at
Before2026-04-26T09:32:48.480843+00:00
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome status
Beforeunverifiable
Afterpending
- Target range: upper bound
BeforeNot recorded
After2.05
- Target range: lower bound
BeforeNot recorded
After1.99
- Target price
Before2.02
AfterNot recorded
- Original timeframe wording
BeforeNot recorded
Afterthis upcoming week
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unsupported close semantics
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-1.86
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before21.5
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-06-20
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $20.2. Price: $21.90.
AfterThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
- Outcome price
Before21.9
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnsupported close semantics
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- $21
- Jun 13, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
- Target as extracted
- $1.99–$2.05
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jun 20, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Jun 20, 2025
- Outcome price observation
- $21.90
- Jun 20, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
Stored explanation
The exact final regular-session close on 2025-06-20 was $21.90; the source required a close inside the inclusive $19.9–$20.5 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.