
The call, on record
TSLA bearish call
Target Price
$224.55
Quoted text as recorded“Unless we close below 338.27 on Friday, and that would need to be by a 1% margin of 334.87 or lower, then we enter another significant 3-to-5-month sell signal. And then we would expect 224.55 over that time horizon”@ 1:30 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 14, 2026
- Timeframe
- 3-to-5-month
- Extracted deadline
- Sep 15, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Tesla has tested the 338.27 channel bottom and is positioned for a longer-term move back to the 432.90 formation over the next 2-3 months. The analyst sees multiple upside targets with 361.59 as the key pivot point for near-term direction.
Key arguments
- Successfully tested 338.27 channel bottom as anticipated
- Closed back above the speed line at 350.19 showing strength
- Multiple upside targets: 386.93 (2-3 weeks), 432.90 (2-3 months reaching 440s-450s)
- 361.59 is key pivot - close above triggers 3-5 day buy signal
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Risk of closing below 338.27 by 1% margin would trigger 3-5 month sell signal to 224.55
- Could fall back to upper 330s over next 3-5 days before resuming uptrend
- May top out at 432.90 level on monthly basis and fall away
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- A close below $338.27 (specifically $334.87 or lower) on Friday would trigger a significant 3-5 month sell signal targeting $224.55
- Analysis is conditional on price action and technical levels; multiple scenarios presented depending on support/resistance breaks
- Timeframes vary from 3-5 days to 2-3 months, indicating uncertainty in exact timing
- Promotional language present; channel offers paid premium services and stock picks
- Past performance and technical analysis do not guarantee future results
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorAI-extracted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 14, 2026, 9:24 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 15, 2026, 6:15 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 16, 2026, 7:46 PM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- claude-sonnet-4-20250514
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Extraction pipeline version
- v1.0.0
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before2.09
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before364.2
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-09-15
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 5% progress toward target $224.55. Price: $356.58.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before356.58
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $224.55
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Sep 15, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
Specific conditions and target but highly conditional scenario