LCIDBearhit
Lucid CityTarget Price
$9.30
“If not, then we could be seeing a secondary push a little bit lower to 9.30, roughly. That would be the next strong support.”@ 6:53 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BearishLCID broke below $10.18 pivot support with all-time low options volume (95K calls, 28K puts total) showing institutional disinterest. Shorts adding 424K shares against only 1.6M daily volume means shorts are having outsized impact. The speaker sees AMP-2 (Saudi Arabia factory) as the major future catalyst and the World Cup (77 days away) as a marketing opportunity.
Key arguments
- Options volume at record lows — institutions completely ignoring LCID
- Shorts increasing 424K shares vs only 1.6M daily volume — massive outsized impact
- Both secondary market transactions were institutional sells
- Closed below 50-day MA for the first time in a while after a brief close above it yesterday
- Bears targeting sub-$10; $9.30 is the next support
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- AMP-2 Saudi factory is a major future catalyst not being discussed enough
- World Cup in North America (77 days) could be major marketing catalyst
- Stochastic RSI at 76 is actually considered overbought — momentum was briefly positive
The call
- Date said
- Mar 26, 2026
- Price at prediction
- $9.91
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $9.15
- Return
- +7.7%
- Notes
- Target ≤$9.3 reached on 2026-03-30. Price: $9.15. Return: +7.7%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≤$9.3 reached on 2026-03-30. Price: $9.15. Return: +7.7%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.