The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$30.60
Said $3.06· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“it has a pivot point of $210 for as long as it is above that. Then it is anticipated in the short term to get between that 297 and 315 range”@ 3:02 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 14, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Email me when LCID calls resolve
When a tracked LCID call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is fighting for the 50-day MA ($255) with shorts adding 1.14M shares to prevent a close above it. Elliott Wave analysis projects a move to $2.97-$3.15 as long as the stock stays above the $2.10 pivot. 49% of options are bullish with a consensus near $3. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated hold with lowered revenue estimates, further lowering the bar for Lucid to beat at Q1 earnings. Abnormal institutional volume in Q1 suggests large players have accumulated positions.
Key arguments
- Elliott Wave analysis projects $2.97-$3.15 short-term price target with $2.10 as the pivot/invalidation
- Options bulls consistently see $3 as the near-term target
- Cantor Fitzgerald lowered revenue estimates (to $250M from $255M), further lowering the bar for Lucid to beat
- Major institutional buying in Q1 suggests smart money has accumulated at current prices
- Shorts returning 20-25M shares over prior 3 days before today's increase shows a weakening trend
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts re-increasing 1.14M to break their 3-day return trend shows bears aren't giving up
- 50-day MA has repelled Lucid multiple times already
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 14, 2025, 3:01 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-10.28
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before25.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-07-13
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $30.6. Price: $22.70.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before22.7
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.06
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.