
The call, on record
TSLA bearish call
Target Price
$299.29
Quoted text as recorded“If we close at 332.57 or lower this week, I would expect 299.29 within 1 to 3 weeks”@ 1:15 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 9, 2026
- Timeframe
- within 1 to 3 weeks
- Extracted deadline
- Apr 30, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- high
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Tesla is at a critical technical juncture where a weekly close below $332.57 would trigger significant downside to $299 and potentially $224, while holding above this level could lead to a rebound toward the low $390s over the next 2-3 months.
Key arguments
- Critical support level at $332.57 - weekly close below triggers major downside
- Rising channel bottom at $335.93 provides key technical support
- Completed downside objective from $430.56 structure suggests potential for rebound
- High volatility requires wider trading zones for risk management
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Could bounce off $322.96 and close back above $335.93 formation
- Potential for vicious rebound even after breaking support levels
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Acknowledges volatility and wide trading zones
- Mentions possibility of bounces off support levels (322.96, 335.93)
- Describes mid-$330s as 'bottom picking territory' with uncertainty
- Provides multiple timeframes (2-3 weeks, 3-5 months) indicating conditional scenarios
- Discusses both bullish (rebound to $430s) and bearish ($224.16) outcomes depending on price action
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorAI-extracted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 9, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 15, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 16, 2026, 7:46 PM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- claude-sonnet-4-20250514
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Extraction pipeline version
- v1.0.0
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-10.42
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before345.62
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-04-30
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $299.29. Price: $381.63.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before381.63
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $299.29
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Apr 30, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
Specific price target with clear timeframe and conditional trigger