The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$28.00
Said $2.80· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“$2.80 that's going to be the next kind of breakout point that you really want to watch for Lucid to get above”@ 7:22 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- May 15, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The decline is attributed to strong PPI and retail sales data dampening rate-cut prospects, which hurts EV sector sentiment. Shorts returned 1.02M shares, suggesting they view today's pullback as sufficient and aren't piling on. Notably, hedge funds held 7.71M Lucid call options at end of Q1, up 54.74%, with total 13F holders at 28.05M (+50.27%) — a meaningful bullish institutional signal despite mixed daily action. The speaker sees the $2.80 200-day MA breakout as the next key milestone.
Key arguments
- Hedge funds held 7.71M call options at end of Q1, up 54.74% — major bullish institutional indicator
- Total 13F Lucid holdings up 50.27% quarter-over-quarter
- Shorts returned 1.02M shares — the sell-off appears technically driven and not justified
- Strong economic data (PPI, retail sales) reduces rate-cut likelihood, hurting EVs temporarily
- $2.80 remains key next resistance level above 100-day MA
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- 52% of options today are bearish
- Big money not lining up to buy the dip — institutional transactions skewed to sells
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- May 15, 2025, 7:45 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before5.58
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before26.9
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-05-16
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$28 reached on 2025-05-16. Price: $28.40. Return: +5.6%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before28.4
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.80
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.