The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$16.90
Said $1.69· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“next target is ultimately $169 based on this. It does have a key pivot of 245.”@ 6:55 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 25, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Email me when LCID calls resolve
When a tracked LCID call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Shorts added 10.1M shares in a single day as Powell signaled stagflation risk and Trump attacked Fed policy. LCID is in a 'show me' phase — even the most bullish investors are demanding execution before buying. The speaker raises a Polestar merger as a potential future scenario if Lucid fails to ramp sufficiently.
Key arguments
- Shorts added 10.1M shares in one day — 31.82% of free float, approaching all-time high
- Powell signaled stagflation risk — raising rates possible, very negative for rate-sensitive EVs
- New Saudi MoUs have not historically benefited Lucid in any tangible way
- Even bullish investors in 'show me' mode — demanding production ramp evidence
- Elliott wave technicals project next target at $1.69 with key pivot at $2.45
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Short interest approaching all-time high creates squeeze potential
- Micron earnings beat could lift tech/growth stocks including LCID
- GDP data forthcoming could be positive market catalyst
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 25, 2025, 8:53 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before21.57
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before21.4
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-09-03
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$16.9 reached on 2025-09-03. Price: $16.79. Return: +21.6%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before16.785
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $1.69
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.