The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$30.50
Said $3.05· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“with it at $284 it is trading right below this S1 so $2.90 which it did bounce off of that for the high that's going to be the next strong Target followed by 305”@ 5:30 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 24, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Cantor Fitzgerald updated its EPS estimate for 2024 to -$0.94, the most bullish on the Street vs. consensus of -$1.11, representing 20% year-over-year improvement. The previous time Lucid had this low an options volume on back-to-back days, it went on a 10%+ green-day streak — a historical pattern the speaker is watching. Shorts are returning 373K shares and Lucid is outperforming both Tesla and Rivian today, showing relative strength. The speaker believes the stock is range-bound between 50-day and 100/200-day MAs until EV policy clarity emerges.
Key arguments
- Cantor Fitzgerald most bullish EPS forecast: -$0.94 vs consensus -$1.11, 20% YoY improvement
- Historically low options volume on back-to-back days preceded a 10%+ green-day run previously
- Shorts returning 373K shares while LCID is green vs. Tesla and Rivian being red — shows relative strength
- Shorts manipulated stock below $3 near options expiry to keep 122K call contracts worthless — expected
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Range-bound between 50-day and 100/200-day MAs until EV policy clarity
- No actual news from Lucid — purely technical/market-structure driven day
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 24, 2025, 7:13 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before16.85
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before27.9
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-13
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$30.5 reached on 2025-02-13. Price: $32.60. Return: +16.8%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before32.6
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.05
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.