LCIDBullhit
Ash MoneyTarget Price
$20
“I think it can easily climb back to $20.”@ 0:43 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishLucid is oversold after its reverse split; shares are attractive at all-time lows and can bounce to $20 short-term, though the company still needs to reduce costs and boost production.
Key arguments
- Stock is at all-time low after 1-for-10 reverse split with sub-$5B market cap.
- Closed a $300 million deal with Uber.
- Product quality is widely acknowledged.
- Creator has started a heavy position and sees oversold conditions.
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Company loses money each year and on every car sold.
- Production issues and unmet demand.
- Cars are expensive relative to competition.
The call
- Date said
- Sep 4, 2025
- Timeframe
- short-term hold
- Price at prediction
- $16.16
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $20.36
- Return
- +26.0%
- Notes
- Target ≥$20 reached on 2025-09-17. Price: $20.36. Return: +26.0%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$20 reached on 2025-09-17. Price: $20.36. Return: +26.0%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Creator uses 'easily' and has a heavy position, but frames it as a short-term trade dependent on sentiment.