
The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$2.50
Said $0.25· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“The stock is overvalued by 6,520%. With a fair value of just 25.”@ 0:12 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- May 7, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Our summary of the thesis
Strongly BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid stock is massively overvalued; fair value is $0.25 per share, with the sell zone above $2.32 and the buy zone below $0.25 contingent on major fundamental improvement.
Key arguments
- Claimed fair value is $0.25 per share versus $2.32 current price.
- Weak EV demand and slow deliveries.
- Investors worry about cash burn and competition.
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Creator personally owns a Lucid Air and is impressed with quality.
- Lucid has exciting growth prospects with new models and partnerships.
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- May 7, 2025, 1:01 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 3:05 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before73.11
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before22.5
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-05-08
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeMissing deadline. Prediction over 12 months old. Price: $6.05.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before6.05
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $0.25
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
Creator cites only vague 'trusted fair value estimates' without showing calculations; $0.25 claim is extreme and not substantiated in the transcript.