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Lucid (LCID)

The call, on record

LCID bearish call

Recorded from Investment Managers_AAM’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.

Target Price(split-adjusted)

$2.50

Said $0.25· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)

Submitted record · moderator reviewed. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“The stock is overvalued by 6,520%. With a fair value of just 25.”@ 0:12 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
May 7, 2025
Interpreted confidence
low
Specificity
specific

Why this call is unscored

Status
expired
Notes
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.

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Our summary of the thesis

Strongly Bearish

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

Lucid stock is massively overvalued; fair value is $0.25 per share, with the sell zone above $2.32 and the buy zone below $0.25 contingent on major fundamental improvement.

Key arguments

  • Claimed fair value is $0.25 per share versus $2.32 current price.
  • Weak EV demand and slow deliveries.
  • Investors worry about cash burn and competition.

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Creator personally owns a Lucid Air and is impressed with quality.
  • Lucid has exciting growth prospects with new models and partnerships.

About this record

Reviewed by a moderator

Submitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
May 7, 2025, 1:01 PM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Apr 20, 2026, 3:05 PM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
manual_claude_session
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Submission path version
manual_v1
Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-06.5
Outcome reason code
expired_without_stated_deadline
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 4 shown
  1. Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  2. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  3. Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    expired without stated deadline

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before73.11

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before22.5

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-05-08

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeMissing deadline. Prediction over 12 months old. Price: $6.05.

    AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.

    Outcome price

    Before6.05

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterExpired without stated deadline

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded
Target as extracted
$0.25
Stated deadline as extracted
None recorded
Recorded outcome date
Oct 6, 2026
Outcome price observation
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded

Stored explanation

No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.

Why we interpreted the confidence this way

Creator cites only vague 'trusted fair value estimates' without showing calculations; $0.25 claim is extreme and not substantiated in the transcript.