The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$18.50
Said $1.85· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“what I mentioned from the Elliot wave technicals about $180 to $1.90 is anticipated. It's coming a little bit sooner than I would have expected.”@ 7:38 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jul 1, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Trump directly attacked EVs saying 'who wants an electric car? it explodes,' sending Tesla down 6% and dragging Lucid and Rivian lower. The speaker notes Lucid's marketing and PR lag is a strategic vulnerability, and while Peter Rawlinson is reportedly still advising creative/strategic teams, the speaker remains skeptical this meaningfully changes execution.
Key arguments
- Trump: 'Who wants an electric car? I don't want an electric car. It explodes' — damaging to EV sector
- Tesla down 6.23%, Rivian down 4.37%, LCID down ~5% on Trump comments
- Elliott wave technicals target $1.80-$1.90 range
- Lucid's marketing and PR gap is leaving investors without catalysts
- Peter Rawlinson reportedly still advising creative and strategic roles
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts not really active today — unusual, could signal exhaustion
- Lucid expanding to Middle East (Abu Dhabi) — long-term growth signal
- Peter still involved may preserve some technology continuity
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jul 1, 2025, 2:15 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before13
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before20.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-09-02
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$18.5 reached on 2025-09-02. Price: $17.66. Return: +13.0%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before17.66
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $1.85
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.