The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$22.10
Said $2.21· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I do feel in the early part of the week you will see it briefly below this 221”@ 11:26 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 1, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Jun 4, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid has dropped 14% in 5 days on extraordinary volume (259M and 262M shares in consecutive days) with no news, suggesting dilution via the active S-3 shelf offering or a major institution selling. The speaker sees a near-term dip below $2.21 possible but expects a recovery and calls current prices a buying opportunity for long-term believers. A June 7th studio event could be the trigger for a catalyst.
Key arguments
- Extraordinary volume (259M+ shares/day) without news strongly suggests dilution or major institution selling
- Active S-3 shelf offering from 2023 allows dilution without immediate disclosure
- Breaking below 50-day MA historically results in a ~30% pullback, implying ~$2 support
- June 7th Lucid Studio event could trigger Gravity test drive announcements
- Negative delta of -457K shares shows options market mechanics are adding selling pressure
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Good data points or China deal this week could trigger recovery to S1–S2 range
- Stock is excessively oversold — strong buyers could emerge at current levels
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 1, 2025, 1:30 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before0
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before22
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-06-02
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$22.1 reached on 2025-06-02. Price: $22.00. Return: 0.0%.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before22
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.21
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jun 4, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.