LCIDBullhit
Lucid CityTarget Price(split-adjusted)
$25.80
Said $2.58· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
“at the 200 day moving average, you have that 258. So that might be potentially where it does go if it does break above that 50.”@ 7:20 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishLucid signed a new MoU with the Eastern Province Municipality in Saudi Arabia, and an EVIQ charging partnership for the region appears forthcoming given Blacklane-EVIQ joining forces and Lucid's existing Blacklane partnership. A breakout above the 50-day MA at $2.35 could trigger ~30% upside toward the 200-day MA at $2.58.
Key arguments
- New MoU signed with Eastern Province Municipality expanding Saudi presence
- EVIQ-Blacklane partnership suggests EVIQ-Lucid charging deal forthcoming for Saudi market
- Big money one-time darkpool transaction of 4M shares ($9.17M) likely institutional buy
- Lucid consolidating relatively well compared to other growth stocks
- Breaking above 50-day MA historically results in very nice rally
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Trump tariff uncertainty causing market suppression
- 67% of options neutral in nature — lack of directional conviction
- MoUs historically not translating into tangible Lucid benefits
The call
- Date said
- Jul 9, 2025
- Price at prediction
- $22.80
- Confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $31.20
- Return
- +36.8%
- Notes
- Target ≥$25.8 reached on 2025-07-17. Price: $31.20. Return: +36.8%.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Rule that fired
Target ≥$25.8 reached on 2025-07-17. Price: $31.20. Return: +36.8%.
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.