The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$100
Said $10· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“$10 bull case is very very good”@ 2:09 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Mar 19, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Morgan Stanley raised its bull case to $10 and changed its rating from sell to hold (equal weight), which the speaker attributes to Morgan Stanley becoming a market maker on the Saudi exchange. Shorts returned 1.32M shares on a big up day, which is unusually bullish behavior. The speaker sees the next strong resistance at $2.63 and highlights a gap to fill near $2.60.
Key arguments
- Morgan Stanley bull case of $10 – a level not seen from them in a long time – drove the stock +8.8%
- Shorts returned 1.32M shares on the up day, abnormal behavior suggesting partial capitulation
- Morgan Stanley's motivation is likely tied to becoming a market maker on the Saudi exchange, creating incentive to be friendly toward PIF-owned Lucid
- Big institutional buying visible via dark pool and secondary market transactions
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Stock still below all key pivotal moving averages
- Stochastic RSI slightly overbought after the move
- NVIDIA GTC keynote did not mention Lucid for autonomous driving, causing a mid-day pullback
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Mar 19, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Reference price
Before23.5
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeNot recorded
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforepending
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $10
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.