The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$41.40
Said $4.14· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“if the data does come in better than anticipated then you could see possibly that $4 range uh 414 as uh fairly possible”@ 8:00 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 5, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Jan 10, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Email me when LCID calls resolve
When a tracked LCID call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker expects Lucid's Q4 production/delivery numbers to come out this week (historically January 11th, now likely shifted one day), anticipating Lucid will hit its 9,000 target given Q3 deliveries already at 7,142. A beat could drive the stock toward $3.49-$4.14, while shorts would likely pounce on any miss. The speaker sees Lucid as generally ready to move higher based on technicals.
Key arguments
- Historical Q4 release on January 11th — logical expectation for this week
- Q4 deliveries only need ~1,858 more to hit 9,000 target, and November was their best delivery month
- Options consensus for $4 range by end of week shows bullish market positioning
- Algorithmic super trend is on Lucid's side keeping it above $3.01 floor
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts increasing 2.68M shares going into the week — very active bearish pressure
- Multiple macro data points (JOLTS, FOMC minutes, non-farm payroll) could cause volatility
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 5, 2025, 2:15 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:39 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-9.31
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before33.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-01-10
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $41.4. Price: $30.20.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before30.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $4.14
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jan 10, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.