The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$55
Said $5.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“for February 21st 2025 there was 2,000 purchased at that 550 strike price so for whatever reason Maybe some large entities... some big money out there is clearly seeing a little bit of upside so we'll just have to wait and see um whether that does come to fruition or not because that would be a pretty kickass return on investment in roughly around 3 months from here up until in excess of 550”@ 4:54 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Nov 21, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Feb 21, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The 'Lucid Ocean' trademark may signal a new vehicle line, and a possible Jaguar technology partnership could bring revenue. Options show an unusual $5.50 strike bet for February 2025, while shorts increasing 2M shares and technical resistance at the ALMA remain bearish headwinds.
Key arguments
- New 'Lucid Ocean' trademark filed November 20, 2024 may indicate new vehicle variant
- Rumored Jaguar partnership could bring licensing revenue
- Unusual options activity: 2,000 contracts purchased at $5.50 strike for February 21, 2025
- 53% of options flow is bullish
- Shorts increasing 1.93M shares, 24.41% of float shorted
- ALMA at $2.28 is key resistance; stock needs to close above it
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Prior partnership rumors with Apple and others have not materialized
- Stock could fall to $1.50 range if market turns bearish
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Nov 21, 2024, 9:29 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:36 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before48.54
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before20.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-21
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 29% progress toward target $55. Price: $30.60.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before30.6
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $5.50
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Feb 21, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.