The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price
$8.50
Quoted text as recorded“Bears are anticipating for it to be sub 850.”@ 4:52 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 7, 2026
- Latest provider quote
- $3.36As of Nov 4, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC. May be delayed; does not resolve this call.
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Tracking the outcome
- Status
- pending
- Notes
- No stated deadline is available. This call remains open without a scored outcome; its horizon label is not a deadline.
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Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker sees LCID hitting a new all-time low at $8.65, driven by Middle East tensions, disappointing deliveries, and zero institutional buying. Shorts returned 55K shares which is a mild positive, but overall the stock needs a major catalyst — an OEM partnership — to attract institutions back. Next support is $8.65 with resistance at $9.13 and $9.89.
Key arguments
- New all-time low with next support at $8.65
- 32.45% of free float shorted (43.4M shares); DTC 6.45 days overextended
- Only institutional transaction was a sell of $524K
- Lower delivery numbers breaking the post-Investor Day optimism
- Needs OEM partnership catalyst to justify institutional re-entry
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts returning 55K shares suggests sell-off may be macro-driven not Lucid-specific
- Nuro robotaxi promotion providing free marketing for Lucid
- 2,300-mile road trip to Canada demonstrates vehicle capability
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 7, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- awaiting_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
awaiting stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before7.02
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before8.83
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-04-15
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$8.5 reached on 2026-04-15. Price: $8.21. Return: +7.0%.
AfterNo stated deadline is available. This call remains open without a scored outcome; its horizon label is not a deadline.
- Outcome price
Before8.21
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterAwaiting stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterpending
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.