The call, on record
LCID neutral call
Target range as extracted
$24.63–
Quoted text as recorded“we should be closing between this R3 and this R2. … below that 2660”@ 8:17 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Sep 28, 2025
- Timeframe
- by the end of the week
- Extracted deadline
- Oct 3, 2025
- Stored reference price
- $23.96
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- hit
- Resolution price
- $24.77
- Notes
- The exact final regular-session close on 2025-10-03 was $24.77; the source required a close at least $24.63 and strictly below $26.6. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
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Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Elliott Wave technicals project Lucid to trade between $25.49 and $27 in the near term, supported by the stock breaking above the 50-day moving average for two consecutive days for the first time. The analyst expects Q3 production/delivery numbers around October 2-3 to be the catalyst for a further breakout and possibly new analyst ratings. Short interest near all-time highs at 32% creates squeeze potential if a strong Q3 print comes.
Key arguments
- Elliott Wave projecting $25.49 to $27 short-term
- Two consecutive closes above 50-day moving average historically signals 30-35% upside run
- Q3 numbers expected October 2-3, ahead of last year's October 7 release
- Short interest 31.99% near all-time high, shorts overextended
- Q3 report could prompt 2-3 new analyst ratings which historically push stock higher
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- A lot of Fed speakers and data this week that could flip market sentiment
- Potential government shutdown could suppress data releases and market moves
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Sep 28, 2025, 2:45 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Oct 18, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-18.1
- Outcome reason code
- endpoint_close_hit
Recent record changes 7 shown
Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
endpoint close hit
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-18.1
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After23.96
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-09-26T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Recorded outcome date
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-10-03
- Outcome explanation
BeforeRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.
AfterThe exact final regular-session close on 2025-10-03 was $24.77; the source required a close at least $24.63 and strictly below $26.6. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
- Outcome observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-10-03T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Outcome price
BeforeNot recorded
After24.77
- Outcome price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome reason
BeforeClaim changed
AfterEndpoint close hit
- Outcome status
Beforepending
Afterhit
Oct 18, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
corrected
- Moderator review status
Beforeunreviewed
Afterapproved
- Reviewed at
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-18T08:50:30.576726+00:00
Oct 18, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC
claim changed
- Direction
Beforebull
Afterneutral
- Evaluation kind
BeforeNot recorded
Afterclose_range_upper_open
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.5
AfterNot recorded
- Source quote
BeforeI do believe uh going back over here, we should be closing between this R3 and this R2. And most likely it will be hugging right below this R3. So below that 2660 is where I do feel by the end of the week we will be closing.
Afterwe should be closing between this R3 and this R2. … below that 2660
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-06
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
AfterRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.
- Outcome reason
BeforeUnsupported close semantics
AfterClaim changed
- Moderator review status
Beforeapproved
Afterunreviewed
- Reviewed at
Before2026-04-26T09:32:49.055633+00:00
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome status
Beforeunverifiable
Afterpending
- Target range: upper bound
BeforeNot recorded
After26.6
- Target range: lower bound
BeforeNot recorded
After24.63
- Target price
Before26.6
AfterNot recorded
- Original timeframe wording
BeforeNot recorded
Afterby the end of the week
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unsupported close semantics
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before2.74
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before24.11
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-10-03
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 27% progress toward target $26.6. Price: $24.77.
AfterThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
- Outcome price
Before24.77
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnsupported close semantics
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- $23.96
- Sep 26, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
- Target as extracted
- $24.63–$26.60
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Oct 3, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 3, 2025
- Outcome price observation
- $24.77
- Oct 3, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
Stored explanation
The exact final regular-session close on 2025-10-03 was $24.77; the source required a close at least $24.63 and strictly below $26.6. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.