The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$23.00
Said $2.30· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“this is where you could see kind of back over here for a second maybe trading on the low end of 230 um if not a little bit slow lower than that”@ 6:57 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Feb 2, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The upcoming week is packed with macro catalysts (manufacturing data, JOLTS, Fed speakers, non-farm payrolls) and tariff uncertainty that could drive significant volatility for LCID. The 50-day moving average around $2.67 is the key support; if it breaks on two consecutive days, a pullback to the $2.30 range is likely. However, the speaker sees long-term value in Lucid's operational progress and encourages buying the dip for bigger-picture investors.
Key arguments
- 50-day moving average has held as support three times in two weeks, signaling underlying strength
- Options market makers and shorts have financial interest in keeping LCID below $3 given 16K open interest at that strike
- Tariff escalation risk and heavy macro data week creates binary outcome for the stock
- Lucid participating in Washington DC Auto Show and Yorkdale Studio event as positive brand catalysts
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If 50-day MA breaks on two consecutive days, stock could trade down to around $2.30
- High tariff uncertainty could drag the entire EV sector lower
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Feb 2, 2025, 4:30 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before19.46
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before28
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-26
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$23 reached on 2025-02-26. Price: $22.55. Return: +19.5%.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before22.55
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.30
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.