The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$25
Said $2.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“you might see a very nice recovery back to that 250 or potentially even higher”@ 5:02 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 3, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Jun 10, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is down 15% in 5 days with no news — potentially driven by the inability to configure Lucid Air on the website and heavy discounting raising demand fears. The speaker sees this as either a buying opportunity given historical rapid recoveries from $2 to $2.50 in 5 days, or a sign of genuine demand problems. Shorts are barely increasing (118K shares) suggesting the drop is institution-led.
Key arguments
- Website configuration error preventing Air orders could signal inventory clearing or demand weakness
- Up to $315K in discounts/credits offered — a potential demand red flag
- Historically Lucid has recovered from $2 to $2.50 in 5 trading days
- Shorts only slightly increasing (118K) — institutional selling is the main driver
- Short interest at 383.99M shares (31.14% of float)
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Could just be normal website maintenance or a shift to focus on Gravity
- Good piece of news could trigger a rapid recovery given extreme oversold conditions
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 3, 2025, 2:35 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before0
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before21.9
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-06-10
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $25. Price: $21.90.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before21.9
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.50
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jun 10, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.