The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$40
Said $4· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“if they actually do come out and give very good future guidance I could see this easily agree with the bulls for it to be roughly around that $4 range”
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Feb 25, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Feb 28, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Analysts have raised EPS estimates from -$0.26 to -$0.255 and revenue from $213.8M to $214.2M ahead of Q4 earnings, signaling modest optimism. The speaker is cautiously optimistic but emphasizes that future guidance — specifically production targets and Gravity details — is what will truly move the stock, as it has historically been the weak point for Lucid in past earnings.
Key arguments
- Analysts raised EPS and revenue estimates ahead of Q4, signaling growing optimism
- Implied earnings move of 15.6% signals high volatility expected
- Options bulls targeting $3.50-$4 range for the week of earnings
- Future guidance on production and Gravity is the make-or-break factor
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- 90% of prior earnings historically resulted in stock decline due to vague future guidance
- Shorts increasing heading into earnings
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Feb 25, 2025, 3:54 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-14.94
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before26.1
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-28
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $40. Price: $22.20.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before22.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $4
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Feb 28, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.