The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$29.00
Said $2.90· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I can't see it being feasibly Above This 290 um unless there is a hell of a lot of good data”@ 8:01 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 26, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Fed rate decision (no cut expected but Powell's tone matters), Tesla earnings, GDP, and PCE data all converge this week creating extreme volatility risk. The $2 RBC hold rating from Tom could create Monday morning weakness. Short interest at 19.29% is relatively elevated. The 50-day MA at $2.61 is the absolute floor — historically, breaks below it lead to 20-40% declines within weeks. The speaker leans slightly bullish but acknowledges LCID could only feasibly reach $2.90 given Trump's blanket over EV growth.
Key arguments
- Multiple macro catalysts (Fed, GDP, PCE, Tesla earnings) converge for maximum volatility this week
- 50-day MA historically a pivotal level — break below leads to 20-40% decline based on prior episodes
- Trump uncertainty acting as virtual ceiling on EV sector recovery — short-term pain acknowledged
- Stock very oversold technically — a good catalyst could produce a sharp upward move
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- $2 hold from RBC's Tom could add selling pressure Monday morning
- Rivian CEO openly acknowledged EV mandate removal will make next couple years challenging
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 26, 2025, 3:00 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before6.55
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before27.5
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-04
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$29 reached on 2025-02-04. Price: $29.30. Return: +6.5%.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before29.3
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.90
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.