The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price
$9.23
Quoted text as recorded“If they miss on the 18,000, then anticipate that 923 most likely to be kind of in the foreseeable future.”@ 8:40 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Dec 31, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Email me when LCID calls resolve
When a tracked LCID call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
On December 31, 2025, Lucid hits a new all-time low of $10.64 while broader market sells off on FOMC minutes signaling no rush to cut rates. New complaints about the Gravity (key fob recognition, navigation glitches, safety alerts) continue despite a prior software update — a damaging signal for a company that claims quality as its differentiator. Short interest at a new all-time high (35.71%), with insiders possibly lending shares.
Key arguments
- New all-time low on last day of 2025 — stock down 65% for the year
- Gravity owners report ongoing issues (key fob recognition, nav glitches, safety alerts) despite prior fix
- New all-time high short interest at 35.71%; possible insider share lending inflating shares on loan
- FOMC minutes signal no rush to cut — market throwing tantrum, hitting speculative stocks
- Institutions not buying; four transactions on secondary market — all buys but very small scale
- If Lucid misses 18,000 production target, speaker expects drop to ~$9.23
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Lucid hitting year-end production target would be status quo minimum to stabilize
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Dec 31, 2025, 6:31 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before13.43
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before10.57
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-03-30
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$9.23 reached on 2026-03-30. Price: $9.15. Return: +13.4%.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before9.15
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $9.23
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.