The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price
$13.35
Quoted text as recorded“Elliot wave technicals right now given the circumstances is projecting for it to hit between that 1297 and 1374 range in the short term”@ 4:21 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Nov 13, 2025
- Latest provider quote
- $3.11As of Nov 2, 2026, 6:52 PM UTC. May be delayed; does not resolve this call.
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Tracking the outcome
- Status
- pending
- Notes
- No stated deadline is available. This call remains open without a scored outcome; its horizon label is not a deadline.
Email me when this call is scored
We’ll email you the result of this call and of the other tracked LCID calls as they resolve. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid dropped 8.47% to a new all-time low of $15.17 as rate cut probability collapsed from 95.5% to 51.9% and management went radio silent post-earnings. The speaker criticizes five years of stock decline and says Elliott Wave technicals project a short-term move to $12.97–$13.74. Options market bears target sub-$6.
Key arguments
- Brand new all-time low at $15.17, down 8.47% on the day
- Rate cut probability collapsed from 95.5% to 51.9% in one month, removing the key macro catalyst
- Management has gone silent since earnings — no interviews, no press releases
- Management has never bought LCID stock (no transaction code P from insiders)
- Elliott Wave Technicals projects $12.97–$13.74 range in short term
- Shorts at peak increased 826,000 shares; 29.6% of free float shorted
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Benchmark analyst issued $30 buy rating
- Short score signals shorts are overextended
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Nov 13, 2025, 9:55 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- awaiting_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
awaiting stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before14.9
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before15.17
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-11-17
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$13.35 reached on 2025-11-17. Price: $12.91. Return: +14.9%.
AfterNo stated deadline is available. This call remains open without a scored outcome; its horizon label is not a deadline.
- Outcome price
Before12.91
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterAwaiting stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterpending
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.