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TubeRank.
Lucid (LCID)

The call, on record

LCID neutral call

Recorded from Lucid City’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.
LCIDNeutralmiss
Lucid CityLucid City

Target range as extracted

$16.95–$17.44

Submitted record · moderator reviewed. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“we will be closing between this S1 and this S2.”@ 9:24 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
Nov 9, 2025
Timeframe
this upcoming week
Extracted deadline
Nov 14, 2025
Stored reference price
$17.28
Interpreted confidence
medium
Specificity
vague

How it resolved

Status
miss
Resolution price
$14.20
Notes
The exact final regular-session close on 2025-11-14 was $14.20; the source required a close inside the inclusive $16.95–$17.44 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.

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Our summary of the thesis

Neutral

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

The speaker provides a weekly preview with Lucid lacking any specific catalysts beyond macro data. The unresolved government shutdown, missing Q3 labor data, and the lack of management interviews post-earnings leaves Lucid at the mercy of macro conditions. A range of $16.95–$17.44 is expected unless positive developments emerge.

Key arguments

  • No Lucid-specific catalysts planned for the week — at mercy of macro
  • Government shutdown still unresolved, key data (CPI, PPI) still delayed
  • Mark Winterhoff has not done a single post-earnings interview — a troubling first under his leadership
  • 7500 tax credit status unclear — Mark promised continuation but earnings transcript had no mention
  • Short interest at 28.05% of float, returning a lot — below the concerning 30% threshold

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Gravity Touring December launch still on schedule
  • DTC at 4.17 signals shorts are overextended

About this record

Reviewed by a moderator

Submitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
Nov 9, 2025, 2:21 PM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Apr 20, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
manual_claude_session
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Submission path version
manual_v1
Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-18.1
Outcome reason code
endpoint_close_miss
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 7 shown
  1. Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

    endpoint close miss

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-18.1

    Reference price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After17.28

    Reference observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-11-07T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Reference price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Recorded outcome date

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-11-14

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.

    AfterThe exact final regular-session close on 2025-11-14 was $14.20; the source required a close inside the inclusive $16.95–$17.44 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.

    Outcome observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-11-14T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Outcome price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After14.2

    Outcome price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Outcome reason

    BeforeClaim changed

    AfterEndpoint close miss

    Outcome status

    Beforepending

    Aftermiss

  2. Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC

    corrected

    Moderator review status

    Beforeunreviewed

    Afterapproved

    Reviewed at

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-18T08:49:16.774546+00:00

  3. Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC

    claim changed

    Stated deadline

    Before2025-11-10

    After2025-11-14

    Evaluation kind

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afterclose_range

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.5

    AfterNot recorded

    Source quote

    BeforeI do feel that we will be closing between this S1 and this S2. So, kind of a tight-knit range

    Afterwe will be closing between this S1 and this S2.

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-10-06

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.

    AfterRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.

    Outcome reason

    BeforeUnsupported close semantics

    AfterClaim changed

    Moderator review status

    Beforeapproved

    Afterunreviewed

    Reviewed at

    Before2026-04-26T09:34:30.15593+00:00

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome status

    Beforeunverifiable

    Afterpending

    Target range: upper bound

    BeforeNot recorded

    After17.44

    Target range: lower bound

    BeforeNot recorded

    After16.95

    Target price

    Before17.44

    AfterNot recorded

    Original timeframe wording

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afterthis upcoming week

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  5. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  6. Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

  7. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    unsupported close semantics

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before0

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before17.18

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2025-11-10

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeCeiling $17.44 held through deadline. Final price: $17.18 (0.0% vs ref).

    AfterThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.

    Outcome price

    Before17.18

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterUnsupported close semantics

    Outcome status

    Beforehit

    Afterunverifiable

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
$17.28
Nov 7, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
Target as extracted
$16.95–$17.44
Stated deadline as extracted
Nov 14, 2025
Recorded outcome date
Nov 14, 2025
Outcome price observation
$14.20
Nov 14, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily

Stored explanation

The exact final regular-session close on 2025-11-14 was $14.20; the source required a close inside the inclusive $16.95–$17.44 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.