
The call, on record
LCID neutral call
Target range as extracted
$16.95–
Quoted text as recorded“we will be closing between this S1 and this S2.”@ 9:24 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Nov 9, 2025
- Timeframe
- this upcoming week
- Extracted deadline
- Nov 14, 2025
- Stored reference price
- $17.28
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- vague
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $14.20
- Notes
- The exact final regular-session close on 2025-11-14 was $14.20; the source required a close inside the inclusive $16.95–$17.44 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
NeutralStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker provides a weekly preview with Lucid lacking any specific catalysts beyond macro data. The unresolved government shutdown, missing Q3 labor data, and the lack of management interviews post-earnings leaves Lucid at the mercy of macro conditions. A range of $16.95–$17.44 is expected unless positive developments emerge.
Key arguments
- No Lucid-specific catalysts planned for the week — at mercy of macro
- Government shutdown still unresolved, key data (CPI, PPI) still delayed
- Mark Winterhoff has not done a single post-earnings interview — a troubling first under his leadership
- 7500 tax credit status unclear — Mark promised continuation but earnings transcript had no mention
- Short interest at 28.05% of float, returning a lot — below the concerning 30% threshold
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Gravity Touring December launch still on schedule
- DTC at 4.17 signals shorts are overextended
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Nov 9, 2025, 2:21 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-18.1
- Outcome reason code
- endpoint_close_miss
Recent record changes 7 shown
Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
endpoint close miss
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-18.1
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After17.28
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-11-07T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Recorded outcome date
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-11-14
- Outcome explanation
BeforeRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.
AfterThe exact final regular-session close on 2025-11-14 was $14.20; the source required a close inside the inclusive $16.95–$17.44 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
- Outcome observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2025-11-14T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Outcome price
BeforeNot recorded
After14.2
- Outcome price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome reason
BeforeClaim changed
AfterEndpoint close miss
- Outcome status
Beforepending
Aftermiss
Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
corrected
- Moderator review status
Beforeunreviewed
Afterapproved
- Reviewed at
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-18T08:49:16.774546+00:00
Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
claim changed
- Stated deadline
Before2025-11-10
After2025-11-14
- Evaluation kind
BeforeNot recorded
Afterclose_range
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.5
AfterNot recorded
- Source quote
BeforeI do feel that we will be closing between this S1 and this S2. So, kind of a tight-knit range
Afterwe will be closing between this S1 and this S2.
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-06
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
AfterRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.
- Outcome reason
BeforeUnsupported close semantics
AfterClaim changed
- Moderator review status
Beforeapproved
Afterunreviewed
- Reviewed at
Before2026-04-26T09:34:30.15593+00:00
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome status
Beforeunverifiable
Afterpending
- Target range: upper bound
BeforeNot recorded
After17.44
- Target range: lower bound
BeforeNot recorded
After16.95
- Target price
Before17.44
AfterNot recorded
- Original timeframe wording
BeforeNot recorded
Afterthis upcoming week
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unsupported close semantics
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before0
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before17.18
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-11-10
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeCeiling $17.44 held through deadline. Final price: $17.18 (0.0% vs ref).
AfterThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.
- Outcome price
Before17.18
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnsupported close semantics
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- $17.28
- Nov 7, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
- Target as extracted
- $16.95–$17.44
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Nov 14, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Nov 14, 2025
- Outcome price observation
- $14.20
- Nov 14, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
Stored explanation
The exact final regular-session close on 2025-11-14 was $14.20; the source required a close inside the inclusive $16.95–$17.44 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.