The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$27.20
Said $2.72· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“based on the Elliot wave technicals as I did bring up two videos ago it is kind of anticipated for it to hit between that mid twos to $272”@ 5:06 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Oct 1, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Email me when LCID calls resolve
When a tracked LCID call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker presents a partially bearish view, noting the selloff has some justification. Key concern: an individual who claims a private Gravity showing says pre-orders and deliveries start next year under $100K - contradicting Peter Rawlinson's guidance on timing and pricing. This may explain why shorts keep increasing. Technically, Lucid broke below the 50-day moving average and Elliott Wave targets mid-$2s to $2.72.
Key arguments
- Manufacturing data below 50 signals broader contraction, legitimate concern
- Middle East escalation adding broad market pressure
- Social media report of Gravity pre-orders starting next year under $100K conflicts with Lucid guidance
- Lucid broke below 50-day MA for a confirmed downtrend
- Elliott Wave technicals point to $2.50-$2.72 range
- Investors need a catalyst - just 'okayish' news isn't enough anymore
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Stock is technically oversold and could bounce on any good news
- Gravity information comes from a low-follower account and may be unreliable
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Oct 1, 2024, 3:07 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before17.48
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before32.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-10-17
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$27.2 reached on 2024-10-17. Price: $26.90. Return: +17.5%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before26.9
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.72
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.