The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price
$13
Quoted text as recorded“From a bull standpoint, this is where again they are anticipating that it'll be at roughly $13 plus by the end of the week.”@ 5:53 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 5, 2026
- Extracted deadline
- Jan 9, 2026
- Stored reference price
- $11.15
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
How it resolved
- Status
- miss
- Resolution price
- $11.33
- Direction-adjusted price move
- +1.6%
- Notes
- The full target was not reached in 5 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $11.33; 10% of the distance toward $13. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
A comparison of price observations, not a trading return. Excludes fees, dividends, spread and execution costs.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid delivered 18,378 produced and 15,841 delivered vehicles for full-year 2025, up 104% and 55% respectively — the first time Lucid hit a target it set without mid-year reduction. Q4 alone saw 8,412 produced (up 116% quarter-over-quarter). The speaker sees this as deserving applause and, combined with technicals, expects a bullish week with potential to reach $13. The main concern is ~3,000 units of excess inventory.
Key arguments
- 18,378 produced in 2025 — up 104% YoY; first genuine target hit without mid-year amendment
- Q4 production of 8,412 up 116% quarter-over-quarter
- 15,841 delivered — up 55% YoY; ~3,000 units of excess inventory remains
- Short interest at all-time high 35.72% — squeeze potential if earnings surprise
- 77% of options activity is bullish; bull consensus targeting ~$13
- Key technical: needs to clear 100-day MA at $11.56 to test 200-day at $12.26
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Excess inventory (~3,000 units) will be scrutinized by Wall Street
- Delivery still lagging production — market may spin as demand concern
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 5, 2026, 4:41 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-18.1
- Outcome reason code
- deadline_missed_ohlc
Recent record changes 7 shown
Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
deadline missed ohlc
- Evaluation kind
BeforeNot recorded
Aftertouch
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-15.1
After2026-10-18.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
BeforeNot recorded
After1.61
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-16
After2026-01-09
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
AfterThe full target was not reached in 5 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $11.33; 10% of the distance toward $13. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
- Outcome observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-01-09T00:00:00+00:00
- Outcome price
BeforeNot recorded
After11.33
- Outcome price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily_ohlc
- Outcome reason
BeforeInsufficient price coverage
AfterDeadline missed ohlc
- Outcome status
Beforeunverifiable
Aftermiss
Oct 16, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.5
After2026-10-15.1
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-10-06
After2026-10-16
Oct 6, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC
insufficient price coverage
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After11.15
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-01-02T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome explanation
BeforeNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
AfterThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.
- Outcome reason
BeforeMissing reference price
AfterInsufficient price coverage
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
missing reference price
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-3.08
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before11.69
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-01-09
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $13. Price: $11.33.
AfterNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.
- Outcome price
Before11.33
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterMissing reference price
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- $11.15
- Jan 2, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
- Target as extracted
- $13
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jan 9, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Jan 9, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- $11.33
- Jan 9, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · yahoo_daily_ohlc
Stored explanation
The full target was not reached in 5 completed regular-session high/low bars. No edge-day threshold crossing was present. Final close: $11.33; 10% of the distance toward $13. Extended-hours trades are outside this evidence.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.