The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$30
Said $3· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“I think it'll all come down to their Q2 numbers mid next week and that might be that point to really push it significantly higher”@ 5:03 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jul 4, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Jul 12, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid rose 7.27% today piggybacking Tesla's momentum, with no Lucid-specific news, and has broken above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages — a rare technical milestone. The short score of 95.64 indicates extreme squeeze potential, and shorts returned 2.86M shares on the day. Q2 numbers expected mid-next-week (Tuesday-Thursday) could serve as the catalyst to push Lucid above $3, potentially triggering a gamma squeeze via 15,000 contracts in open interest at that strike.
Key arguments
- Lucid broke above both 50-day and 100-day moving averages — historically precedes another 20-40% run
- Short score 95.64% with 28.7% of float shorted — consistent #1 most heavily shorted EV
- Shorts returned 2.86M shares today, validating the green day
- Q2 numbers coming Tuesday-Thursday; speaker expects ~2,100 delivered, ~1,900 produced
- 15,000 open interest at $3 strike — close above $3 triggers market maker gamma squeeze Monday
- Increasing social media visibility (football celebrities spotted in Lucid Air)
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Stochastic at 77 is approaching overbought — first sign of weakness could bring pullback
- Volume was mostly algorithmic and Tesla-driven, not Lucid-specific
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jul 4, 2024, 12:14 AM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:34 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before7.12
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before29.5
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-07-08
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$30 reached on 2024-07-08. Price: $31.60. Return: +7.1%.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before31.6
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jul 12, 2024
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.