The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$36
Said $3.60· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“what I anticipate a kind of a pre earnings fomo run to maybe around that 360 that's where I realistically see things if not potentially a little bit higher”@ 6:19 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 19, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Feb 25, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: condition
- Notes
- The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
79,000 ITM options (at the $2.50-$3.00 strikes) require market makers to cover approximately 7.9 million shares on Tuesday's market open, providing a mechanical upside catalyst. The speaker also notes abnormal after-hours buying on Friday as likely additional market maker coverage. A pre-earnings FOMO run to ~$3.42 is anticipated, with potentially higher if guidance is strong. The key Trump executive orders at inauguration could create EV-related volatility. Short interest at 18.99% with room to double-down if data turns negative.
Key arguments
- 79K ITM options at $2.50-$3.00 strikes require ~7.9M shares of market maker coverage on Tuesday — mechanical pop
- Abnormal after-hours buying Friday likely from market makers pre-covering those options
- Shorter week (MLK Monday off) compresses volatility into fewer trading days
- Pre-earnings FOMO run historically drives LCID to a local peak before the actual print
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Trump executive orders at inauguration could create negative EV sector volatility
- Removal of $7,500 EV credit rumored to be among first executive orders
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 19, 2025, 3:01 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_condition
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified condition
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-8.74
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before28.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-02-25
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $36. Price: $26.10.
AfterThe claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
- Outcome price
Before26.1
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified condition
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3.60
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Feb 25, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The claim contains a condition. Its trigger has not been verified, so price alone cannot establish an outcome.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.