The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price
$29
Quoted text as recorded“for those of you that did tune in, I think it is fair to assume that we might be seeing that $29 range um in at least the foreseeable future”@ 5:49 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Oct 3, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid spiked 3.07% late afternoon on news of Trump considering 'significant' US auto tariff relief, which the speaker views as potentially huge given Lucid guided 15%+ margin hit from tariffs. The stock broke above the 200-day moving average for the first time since July 29. The speaker sees the $29 range as achievable in the foreseeable future via Elliott Wave technicals. Two large dark pool buys of $1.2M and $1.1M occurred in the morning before the news broke.
Key arguments
- Trump considering 'significant' US auto tariff relief - massive if implemented given Lucid's 15%+ guided margin hit
- Lucid broke above 200-day moving average for first time since July 29; very bullish technical signal
- Dark pool: $1.2M and $1.1M buys in morning suggest someone knew something beforehand
- Short interest: shorts were doing nothing and packed up by mid-afternoon; DTC at 3.15 days
- Options: 58% bullish; consensus at $25-$25.50 for next week
- Elliott Wave technicals suggest $29 range achievable in foreseeable future
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- News came out Friday afternoon when big money already packed up - full impact not priced in yet
- Tariff relief is vague wording; 'significant' definition unclear
- Limited options activity on this news due to timing
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Oct 3, 2025, 7:55 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-54.99
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before24.77
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-01-01
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $29. Price: $11.15.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before11.15
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $29
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.