
The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$21.40
Said $2.14· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“it is going to push higher I'm not here to say it's going to get to the threes or whatever else but at least it will continue to trade between this pivot and this S1”@ 5:50 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Nov 17, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker predicts a further pullback toward $1.83 in the first half of the week driven by Nvidia earnings uncertainty and weak retail momentum, followed by a bounce as value investors step in. A 59.9% likelihood of a December Fed rate cut would benefit Lucid given the EV sector's rate sensitivity.
Key arguments
- Stock at all-time lows with stochastic RSI oversold — value buying opportunity
- 23.81% of float shorted; shorts have been suppressing breakout attempts
- Rate cut probability at 59.9% for December 18 — positive for EV sector
- Nvidia earnings Thursday and manufacturing data Friday are key macro drivers
- 7,000 put open interest at $2 means market makers may cover ~700K shares on Monday
- Retail investors have been net sellers — no dip buying momentum
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Trump's EV tax credit removal could hurt future midsize sales in 2026
- Lucid's poor PR and lack of Gravity updates damage shareholder sentiment
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Nov 17, 2024, 3:30 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:37 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:34 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before0
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before21.4
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-11-18
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$21.4 reached on 2024-11-18. Price: $21.40. Return: 0.0%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before21.4
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.14
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.