
The call, on record
TSLA bearish call
Target Price
$228.24
Quoted text as recorded“that set off a longer term sell signal and we're a solid month into that now 22824 likely let's just call it by the end of the year that is what we're anticipating”
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Aug 25, 2026
- Timeframe
- by the end of the year
- Extracted deadline
- Dec 31, 2026
- Stored reference price
- $348.95
- Latest provider quote
- $380.68As of Oct 6, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC. May be delayed; does not resolve this call.
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Tracking the outcome
- Status
- pending
- Notes
- No target crossing is established inside the still-open stated window. Previous scores are withdrawn.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The analyst maintains a bearish long-term outlook on Tesla after the stock settled below its 18-month rising channel bottom five weeks ago, which triggered a longer-term sell signal with a downside objective near $228.24 by year-end. Near-term, a counter-trend rally remains technically healthy and could retest the $382.73 zone before the broader bearish structure reasserts itself.
Key arguments
- TSLA settled below the bottom of its 18-month rising channel, triggering a longer-term sell signal
- The projected downside objective from that sell signal is $228.24, expected potentially by year-end
- The $382.73–$416.03 zone represents long-term resistance that could absorb buying pressure through the rest of the year
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- The counter-trend rally remains healthy as long as TSLA holds above $345.32, keeping $382.73 in play in the near term
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Longer-term sell signal remains active from five weeks ago
- Counter-trend rally is contingent on holding above $345.32 daily close
- Multiple price scenarios presented depending on support/resistance breaks
- 3-5 month time horizon predictions with significant downside targets
- Analyst not interested in long-term buys unless specific conditions met (close above $416.30 or bottom-pick at $228.24)
About this record
Not yet reviewed by a moderatorAI-extracted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Aug 25, 2026, 1:34 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Aug 25, 2026, 2:17 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Not recorded
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- claude-sonnet-5
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Extraction pipeline version
- v1.0.0
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- awaiting_target
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
awaiting target
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
- Reference price
BeforeNot recorded
After348.95
- Reference observation time
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-08-24T23:59:59.999+00:00
- Reference price source
BeforeNot recorded
Afteryahoo_daily
- Outcome explanation
BeforeThe stated window is still open, but a valid reference observation is not yet available. Previous scores are withdrawn while evidence is collected.
AfterNo target crossing is established inside the still-open stated window. Previous scores are withdrawn.
- Outcome reason
BeforeAwaiting price evidence
AfterAwaiting target
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
awaiting price evidence
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Outcome explanation
BeforeNot recorded
AfterThe stated window is still open, but a valid reference observation is not yet available. Previous scores are withdrawn while evidence is collected.
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterAwaiting price evidence
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
Stated as the analyst's ongoing anticipated objective from an active sell signal with a defined timeframe, but softened slightly with 'likely' and 'let's just call it'.