The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price
$11.83
Quoted text as recorded“next real target is going to be that blue line right there, the 50-day moving average... that's sitting at 11.83.”@ 6:28 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jan 29, 2026
- Extracted deadline
- Jan 31, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid up 3.85% in a down market, driven primarily by Tesla's announcement that Model S/X production is winding down next quarter (benefiting Lucid Air as competition), and secondarily by the NAF Winter Test 2026 range record of 520km. Large institutional buys on secondary market ($5.6M and $1.5M in AH). Two consecutive days above the 10-day moving average signals trend confirmation, with the 50-day MA at $11.83 as the next target. Shorts returning 114K shares is also positive.
Key arguments
- Tesla winding down Model S/X production — removes direct Air competitor, bullish for Lucid
- Lucid Air achieves 520km range at NAF Winter Test 2026 — best in field
- Large institutional buys: $5.6M and $1.5M after hours on secondary market
- Second day above 10-day moving average signals confirmed bullish trend
- Shorts returned 114K shares — not adding pressure
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Primary driver was Tesla news, not Lucid-specific fundamentals
- Shutdown risk and broader market fear limit upside
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jan 29, 2026, 10:17 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-2.29
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before11.33
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-01-31
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $11.83. Price: $11.07.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before11.07
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $11.83
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jan 31, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.