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TubeRank.
Lucid (LCID)

The call, on record

LCID neutral call

Recorded from Lucid City’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.
LCIDNeutralmiss
Lucid CityLucid City

Target range as extracted

$13.77–$14.14

Submitted record · moderator reviewed. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“we will be closing between this R2 and this R1.”@ 7:47 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
Dec 7, 2025
Timeframe
by the end of the week
Extracted deadline
Dec 12, 2025
Stored reference price
$13.42
Interpreted confidence
medium
Specificity
specific

How it resolved

Status
miss
Resolution price
$12.54
Notes
The exact final regular-session close on 2025-12-12 was $12.54; the source required a close inside the inclusive $13.77–$14.14 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.

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Our summary of the thesis

Bullish

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

Options market consensus is pointing to $14.50–$15 for LCID, and the speaker sees algorithmic trading pushing the stock higher similar to September's run. The speaker believes a 25bp rate cut is likely and that Lucid just needs institutional buying to get back into the $14+ range. He set a realistic weekly close between $13.77 and $14.14.

Key arguments

  • Options flow shows bulls targeting $14.50–$15 while bears are hedging against a macro Powell disappointment
  • Shorts returned 664K shares on Friday signaling the selloff may be unjustified
  • Algorithmic trading driven by broader market optimism could push LCID higher similar to September's run
  • 86.2% likelihood of a 25bp rate cut priced in which is broadly positive for speculative stocks

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Powell could disappoint by not cutting, which would drag speculative stocks lower
  • A negative review by a 4.16M subscriber channel caused Friday's 5% drop and could weigh on sentiment

About this record

Reviewed by a moderator

Submitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
Dec 7, 2025, 2:01 PM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Apr 20, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
manual_claude_session
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Submission path version
manual_v1
Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-18.1
Outcome reason code
endpoint_close_miss
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 7 shown
  1. Oct 18, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

    endpoint close miss

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-18.1

    Reference price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After13.42

    Reference observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-12-05T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Reference price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Recorded outcome date

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-12-12

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.

    AfterThe exact final regular-session close on 2025-12-12 was $12.54; the source required a close inside the inclusive $13.77–$14.14 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.

    Outcome observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-12-12T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Outcome price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After12.54

    Outcome price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Outcome reason

    BeforeClaim changed

    AfterEndpoint close miss

    Outcome status

    Beforepending

    Aftermiss

  2. Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC

    corrected

    Moderator review status

    Beforeunreviewed

    Afterapproved

    Reviewed at

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-18T08:49:16.778514+00:00

  3. Oct 18, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC

    claim changed

    Direction

    Beforebull

    Afterneutral

    Evaluation kind

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afterclose_range

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.5

    AfterNot recorded

    Source quote

    BeforeI do feel by the end of the week, we will be closing between this R2 and this R1. So between that 1414 and 1377.

    Afterwe will be closing between this R2 and this R1.

    Source moment (seconds)

    Before465

    After467

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-10-06

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.

    AfterRetrospective source correction; old outcome withdrawn pending canonical resolution.

    Outcome reason

    BeforeUnsupported close semantics

    AfterClaim changed

    Moderator review status

    Beforeapproved

    Afterunreviewed

    Reviewed at

    Before2026-04-26T09:32:48.615625+00:00

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome status

    Beforeunverifiable

    Afterpending

    Target range: upper bound

    BeforeNot recorded

    After14.14

    Target range: lower bound

    BeforeNot recorded

    After13.77

    Target price

    Before14.14

    AfterNot recorded

    Original timeframe wording

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afterby the end of the week

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  5. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  6. Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

  7. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    unsupported close semantics

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before-1.72

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before12.76

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2025-12-12

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $14.14. Price: $12.54.

    AfterThe claim refers to a closing price, but its exact session or settlement semantics are not supported. Intraday quotes cannot establish its outcome.

    Outcome price

    Before12.54

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterUnsupported close semantics

    Outcome status

    Beforemiss

    Afterunverifiable

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
$13.42
Dec 5, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
Target as extracted
$13.77–$14.14
Stated deadline as extracted
Dec 12, 2025
Recorded outcome date
Dec 12, 2025
Outcome price observation
$12.54
Dec 12, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily

Stored explanation

The exact final regular-session close on 2025-12-12 was $12.54; the source required a close inside the inclusive $13.77–$14.14 range. Earlier prices and intraday highs/lows do not affect this result.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.