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Tesla (TSLA)

The call, on record

TSLA bullish call

Recorded from Jo Bhakdi’s public commentary. Review the evidence behind the call and its outcome.
TSLABullNot scored: price data
Jo BhakdiJo Bhakdi

Target Price

$657

Submitted record · moderator reviewed. The quote is source evidence; the structured call and thesis are TubeRank’s interpretation.
Quoted text as recorded“I'm saying this year in 25 end of the year we will look at 657. That is the fair value future fair value of Tesla.”@ 8:19 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Our interpretation

Source published
Mar 10, 2025
Timeframe
end of this year
Extracted deadline
Dec 31, 2025
Stored reference price
$262.67
Interpreted confidence
high
Specificity
specific

Why this call is unscored

Status
Not scored: price data
Notes
The deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.

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Evidence and source

Tesla Stock is DROPPING - I do THIS now
Published on Mar 10, 2025@ 8:19Open on YouTube

Our summary of the thesis

Strongly Bullish

Structured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.

Tesla at 236 is trading at a 43% discount to model fair value with end-2025 target of 657 and 2030 target of 12,700 under conservative robotaxi and Optimus assumptions, making this a generational entry point but with recommendation to wait for sentiment shift rather than catch a falling knife.

Key arguments

  • Fair value end-2025 is 657 (up from 366 last December)
  • 2030 target adjusted to 12,700 per share
  • Current 236 stock = 43% discount to fair value of 418
  • Conservative model inputs: 50 robotaxis 2025, 10k 2026, 50k 2027, 200k 2028; Optimus 110k cumulative by 2027
  • Robotaxi June launch remains on track based on all indicators
  • Potential 650 by August if robotaxi launches successfully
  • Fear & greed at 16 - not a selling point, but also don't catch falling knife
  • Presenter moved 30% of core stock position into Dec 2026 900-strike LEAPS two weeks ago
  • Trump willingness to tolerate market chaos implies advisors see no fundamental risk

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • Main risk: robotaxi launch could mess up or get delayed
  • Secondary risk: broader market/economy crash
  • Next 5 weeks until earnings likely turmoil

About this record

Reviewed by a moderator

Submitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.

Source published
Mar 10, 2025, 6:14 PM UTC
First recorded by TubeRank
Apr 20, 2026, 1:46 PM UTC
Record last updated
Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC
Moderator review recorded
Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
Transcript provenance
YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
Recorded analysis processor/source label
manual_claude_session
This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
Submission path version
manual_v1
Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
Outcome methodology version
2026-10-18.1
Outcome reason code
insufficient_price_coverage
Publication is when the video was released; recording is when TubeRank added this call. They are not interchangeable. Legacy records can lack version and observation metadata. Dates are shown in UTC.
Recent record changes 7 shown

  1. Oct 19, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC

    corrected

    Evaluation kind

    BeforeNot recorded

    Aftertouch

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-15.1

    After2026-10-18.1

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-10-16

    After2026-10-19

  2. Oct 16, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.5

    After2026-10-15.1

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2026-10-06

    After2026-10-16

  3. Oct 6, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.4

    After2026-10-06.5

  4. Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.2

    After2026-10-06.4

  5. Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC

    corrected

    Outcome methodology version

    Before2026-10-06.1

    After2026-10-06.2

  6. Oct 6, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC

    insufficient price coverage

    Reference price

    BeforeNot recorded

    After262.67

    Reference observation time

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2025-03-07T23:59:59.999+00:00

    Reference price source

    BeforeNot recorded

    Afteryahoo_daily

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.

    AfterThe deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.

    Outcome reason

    BeforeMissing reference price

    AfterInsufficient price coverage

  7. Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC

    missing reference price

    Outcome methodology version

    BeforeNot recorded

    After2026-10-06.1

    Direction-adjusted price movement (%)

    Before102.44

    AfterNot recorded

    Reference price

    Before222.15

    AfterNot recorded

    Recorded outcome date

    Before2025-12-31

    After2026-10-06

    Outcome explanation

    BeforeDeadline passed. Moved 52% toward target $657. Price: $449.72.

    AfterNo valid price observation at or before publication is available (daily reference requires the prior completed session); no reference or return is invented.

    Outcome price

    Before449.72

    AfterNot recorded

    Outcome reason

    BeforeNot recorded

    AfterMissing reference price

    Outcome status

    Beforepartial

    Afterunverifiable

Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 8 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.

Methodology and limitationsReport a correction
Stored outcome evidence
Stored reference price
$262.67
Mar 7, 2025, 11:59 PM UTC · yahoo_daily
Target as extracted
$657
Stated deadline as extracted
Dec 31, 2025
Recorded outcome date
Oct 19, 2026
Outcome price observation
Not recorded
Not recorded · provider not recorded

Stored explanation

The deadline passed without an observed crossing. Daily closes cannot exclude an intraday touch or prove a boundary held; complete intraday/high-low evidence is required for this claim.

Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.

Why we interpreted the confidence this way

Direct output of presenter's DCF model with explicit breakdown. Repeatedly cited across videos with small weekly adjustments.

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