
The call, on record
TSLA bearish call
Target Price
$224.16
Quoted text as recorded“within 3 to 5 months or sooner 224.16”@ 1:23 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 9, 2026
- Timeframe
- within 3 to 5 months
- Extracted deadline
- Sep 9, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Tesla is at a critical technical juncture where a weekly close below $332.57 would trigger significant downside to $299 and potentially $224, while holding above this level could lead to a rebound toward the low $390s over the next 2-3 months.
Key arguments
- Critical support level at $332.57 - weekly close below triggers major downside
- Rising channel bottom at $335.93 provides key technical support
- Completed downside objective from $430.56 structure suggests potential for rebound
- High volatility requires wider trading zones for risk management
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Could bounce off $322.96 and close back above $335.93 formation
- Potential for vicious rebound even after breaking support levels
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Acknowledges volatility and wide trading zones
- Mentions possibility of bounces off support levels (322.96, 335.93)
- Describes mid-$330s as 'bottom picking territory' with uncertainty
- Provides multiple timeframes (2-3 weeks, 3-5 months) indicating conditional scenarios
- Discusses both bullish (rebound to $430s) and bearish ($224.16) outcomes depending on price action
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorAI-extracted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 9, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 15, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 16, 2026, 7:46 PM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- claude-sonnet-4-20250514
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Extraction pipeline version
- v1.0.0
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-6.42
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before345.62
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-09-09
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $224.16. Price: $367.81.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before367.81
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $224.16
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Sep 9, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
Specific target but longer timeframe and conditional