TSLABullunverifiable
Farzad“we'll we'll try a little advertising and see how it goes”@ 2:31 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Thesis at the time
BullishTesla has amazing features and functionality that people don't know about, and the starting price is now below the average auto price in the US. The company has achieved its goal of making cars affordable to the general public.
Key arguments
- Tesla has innovative features like over-the-air airbag deployments and safety improvements that aren't well-known
- Tesla's starting price is below the average auto price in the US, contrary to public perception
- Tesla has achieved affordability for the general public as originally intended
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Many people still think Teslas are super expensive due to outdated perceptions
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- No specific price targets or directional predictions made
- Discussion is exploratory rather than committal (Elon says 'we'll try a little advertising and see how it goes')
- Kevin acknowledges existing Tesla shareholders are 'preaching to the choir'
- No financial advice disclaimer present, but content is conversational rather than prescriptive
The call
- Date said
- May 16, 2023
- Price at prediction
- $166.52
- Confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- vague
How it resolved
- Status
- unverifiable
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.
Confidence Reasoning
Elon shows willingness to try advertising but uses hedging language like 'try a little' and 'see how it goes'