The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$18.80
Said $1.88· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“on a technical standpoint going into this upcoming week, it is actually based on the Elliot wave technicals projecting for it to hit that $1.88 range”@ 5:26 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Jun 8, 2025
- Extracted deadline
- Jun 15, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
An unprecedented 10.43M share increase in Lucid short interest on Friday has the speaker worried that shorts may be acting on information the market doesn't have yet. Elliott Wave technicals project $1.88 as a near-term target. No Gravity sales in May also signals potential demand/supply issues. The speaker will only buy in the $1.80–$1.90 range.
Key arguments
- Unprecedented 10.43M short increase in a single day — shorts may have advance information
- Elliott Wave technicals project $1.88 target
- No Gravity sales recorded in May per Motor Intelligence data
- Lucid lacks transparency and isn't fulfilling its own stated goal of being more open
- Black Lane deal details still unclear despite hints
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- If data points align and Elon/Trump drama resolves, could see recovery toward $2.50
- Stochastic RSI is mindblowingly oversold — any positive catalyst could drive a big recovery
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Jun 8, 2025, 1:00 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before3.59
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before22.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-06-15
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 23% progress toward target $18.8. Price: $21.50.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before21.5
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $1.88
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jun 15, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.