The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$30
Said $3· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“you see a consensus for it to be above $3 and even some dabblings of $4 so for January 2025 you anticipate for $4”@ 5:05 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Dec 16, 2024
- Extracted deadline
- Jan 31, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Lucid is gaining momentum from record delivery data for Q4, a new $3.50 buy rating from Stifel, and exploration of solid-state battery technology that aligns with the Trump administration's battery focus. Big-money options activity shows consensus for $3+ and even $4 price levels while the technical setup above the 50-day moving average points to a 30-40% historical run.
Key arguments
- Inside information suggests Q4 deliveries have already surpassed all-time high of 2,700 units
- Stifel issued new $3.50 buy rating, the most bullish recent analyst target
- Lucid's military battery contract and solid-state battery exploration align with Trump's battery-focused EV policy
- Options show consensus for $3+ by January and $4 by February, with big-money transactions above $100K
- Stock is above 50-day moving average, historically resulting in 30-40% upside runs
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Shorts are increasing by 2.7 million shares, representing 22.3% of free float
- Trump plans to remove $7,500 EV tax credit which could headwind broader EV sector
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Dec 16, 2024, 4:17 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:42 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before10.62
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before27.3
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-12-20
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≥$30 reached on 2024-12-20. Price: $30.20. Return: +10.6%.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before30.2
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $3
- Stated deadline as extracted
- Jan 31, 2025
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.