
The call, on record
TSLA bearish call
Target Price
$299.29
Quoted text as recorded“That would come on weakness with a settlement below 334.87, expecting 299.29 within 2 or 3 weeks.”@ 8:15 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Apr 12, 2026
- Timeframe
- within 2 or 3 weeks
- Extracted deadline
- May 4, 2026
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- Not scored: deadline
- Notes
- The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Email me when TSLA calls resolve
When a tracked TSLA call is scored — hit, miss or partial — we’ll email you the result. No account needed.
Used only for these updates. Privacy
Our summary of the thesis
MixedStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Tesla is at a critical technical juncture around the 338.27 channel bottom support level. The direction depends on whether this support holds or breaks with a 1% violation below 334.87.
Key arguments
- Successfully tested long-term rising channel bottom at 338.27 after 2-3 month decline
- Holding above 338.27 opens path to 432.90 and potentially 530s longer-term
- Multiple technical resistance levels provide clear trading zones
- Long-term 6-year channel top in 530s acts as price ceiling
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- Closing below 334.87 (1% violation) triggers significant sell signal to 224.55
- Geopolitical risks from Iran-US peace talk breakdown could pressure broader market
- Multiple downside targets if key support breaks
Hedges and caveats (from the video)
- Multiple conditional scenarios presented (bullish if above $338.27, bearish if below $334.87)
- Time horizons are ranges (2-3 weeks, 2-3 months, 3-5 months) indicating uncertainty
- Analysis depends on specific price action and closing levels
- External geopolitical factors mentioned (Iran-US peace talks) as potential market movers
- Presenter acknowledges probability shifts based on technical support testing
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorAI-extracted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Apr 12, 2026, 4:58 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 15, 2026, 6:20 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 16, 2026, 7:46 PM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- claude-sonnet-4-20250514
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Extraction pipeline version
- v1.0.0
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- unverified_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
unverified stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-11.38
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before352.42
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2026-05-04
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeDeadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $299.29. Price: $392.51.
AfterThe stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
- Outcome price
Before392.51
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterUnverified stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterunverifiable
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $299.29
- Stated deadline as extracted
- May 4, 2026
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
The stored date is not supported by an unambiguous deadline in the source quote. Horizon labels and extracted dates alone cannot establish a promised window.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.
Why we interpreted the confidence this way
Conditional but uses strong 'expecting' language with specific timeframe