The call, on record
LCID bullish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$45
Said $4.50· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“you do see a lot more optimism so you see it kind of surging back to that 450 potentially”@ 4:35 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- Sep 26, 2024
- Interpreted confidence
- low
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BullishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
The speaker views shorts returning 680K shares on a green day as a validating signal that the rally is real and shorts are beginning to admit defeat. With 60% bullish options flow, GDP and jobless claims both beating expectations, and PCE data expected to confirm rate cuts tomorrow, the speaker draws an analogy to Neo's 200-day MA breakout and believes Lucid needs just one more catalyst to break above the 50-day MA for a significant run.
Key arguments
- Shorts returning 680K shares - first time in a while, validating the green day
- 60% of options flow bullish with consensus targeting $4.50 upside
- GDP and initial jobless claims beat expectations, supporting rate-cut narrative
- Fear/greed index moving toward extreme greed, increasing risk appetite
- Neo analogy: similar setup before a major breakout from moving average resistance
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- 50bp cut probability dropped slightly to 49% due to good economic data
- Volume came from algos not fundamental buyers
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- Sep 26, 2024, 8:15 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before-6.78
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before35.4
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2024-12-25
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeHorizon window passed. Only 0% progress toward target $45. Price: $33.00.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before33
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforemiss
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $4.50
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.