The call, on record
LCID bearish call
Target Price(split-adjusted)
$24.60
Said $2.46· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)
Quoted text as recorded“that might be shorts bigger plan to really break lucid on a technical standpoint... just watch for that 246”@ 6:23 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗
Our interpretation
- Source published
- May 23, 2025
- Interpreted confidence
- medium
- Specificity
- specific
Why this call is unscored
- Status
- expired
- Notes
- No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
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Evidence and source
Our summary of the thesis
BearishStructured interpretation of the video, not a verbatim quotation. Check the source for conditions, emphasis and context.
Shorts are abnormally increasing position (+2.48M shares) going into a long weekend, a clear sign they are pursuing a specific technical objective — breaking Lucid below the 100-day MA. The speaker notes 57% of options activity is bearish, with large 250 puts purchased for June 20, and flags that a 30% historical drawdown occurs whenever Lucid breaks below its 50-day MA. Management execution delays on promised marketing campaigns and ambassadors are also giving shorts cover.
Key arguments
- Shorts increased 2.48M shares on pre-holiday Friday — abnormal and strategic
- 57% of options activity is bearish; large 250 puts bought for June 20 (~28 days out)
- Lucid broke below the 100-day MA today; 50-day at $2.46 is now next key support
- Historical pattern: breaking below 50-day MA causes ~30% decline
- Lucid has delayed on promised marketing campaigns, gravity test drives, and ambassador announcement
Counter-arguments acknowledged
- All secondary market transactions so far are buys
- Bulls still expect $3 range by next week
About this record
Reviewed by a moderatorSubmitted record. A quote, summary and outcome each need their own context. Moderator review does not certify investment performance.
- Source published
- May 23, 2025, 7:07 PM UTC
- First recorded by TubeRank
- Apr 20, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC
- Record last updated
- Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
- Moderator review recorded
- Apr 26, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC
- Transcript provenance
- YouTube captions (manual or automatic)
- Recorded analysis processor/source label
- manual_claude_session
- This can identify a workflow rather than an exact AI model version.
- Submission path version
- manual_v1
- Identifies the precomputed submission path. It does not identify an AI model version or imply human authorship.
- Outcome methodology version
- 2026-10-06.5
- Outcome reason code
- expired_without_stated_deadline
Recent record changes 4 shown
Oct 6, 2026, 6:32 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.4
After2026-10-06.5
Oct 6, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.2
After2026-10-06.4
Oct 6, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
corrected
- Outcome methodology version
Before2026-10-06.1
After2026-10-06.2
Oct 6, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC
expired without stated deadline
- Outcome methodology version
BeforeNot recorded
After2026-10-06.1
- Direction-adjusted price movement (%)
Before5.86
AfterNot recorded
- Reference price
Before25.6
AfterNot recorded
- Recorded outcome date
Before2025-05-29
After2026-10-06
- Outcome explanation
BeforeTarget ≤$24.6 reached on 2025-05-29. Price: $24.10. Return: +5.9%.
AfterNo stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
- Outcome price
Before24.1
AfterNot recorded
- Outcome reason
BeforeNot recorded
AfterExpired without stated deadline
- Outcome status
Beforehit
Afterexpired
Showing up to 20 recent changes. The complete feed has 5 recorded events for this call, including its initial entry. Read the full paginated history (JSON); follow nextCursor while hasMore is true.
Stored outcome evidence
- Stored reference price
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
- Target as extracted
- $2.46
- Stated deadline as extracted
- None recorded
- Recorded outcome date
- Oct 6, 2026
- Outcome price observation
- Not recorded
- Not recorded · provider not recorded
Stored explanation
No stated deadline is recorded. Archived after 12 months without a scored outcome; this is not a missed deadline.
Missing timestamps, providers and versions are historical gaps. Stored observations can include daily closes; they do not show every intraday touch or prove an executable trade. Read the methodology.