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LCIDBullmiss
Lucid CityLucid City

Target Price(split-adjusted)

$29.10

Said $2.91· today's shares after the 1-for-10 reverse split (Sep 2025)

“I do feel going into this upcoming week, it'll be closing between this R3 and this R2... 255 and then 269 and then 291 is going to be the next round target/resistance points”@ 5:27 · open at this moment on YouTube ↗

Thesis at the time

Strongly Bullish

Speaker is emphatically bullish, calling for Lucid to 'rocket like a mother' Monday following the tariff exclusion for electronics/computers. Shorts have returned 20M+ shares over three consecutive days, and 26,000 in-the-money options at $2.50 should force market maker buying of ~2.8M shares. The 50-day MA ($252) has been breached, which historically signals a 30%+ run. The speaker personally bought on Friday and expects the stock to reach the R2-R3 zone ($269-$291) within the week.

Key arguments

  • Tariff exclusions for electronics/computers create a massive market-wide positive sentiment catalyst
  • Shorts returned 5.41M Friday alone, 3rd consecutive day — overextended short position likely to unwind
  • 26,000 in-the-money $2.50 options force ~2.8M share covering by market makers Monday
  • Lucid above 50-day MA ($252) — 30% historical run pattern applies
  • Speaker personally bought on Friday at $2.50 expressing high conviction
  • Nikola facility acquisition announced same week, additional bullish catalyst

Counter-arguments acknowledged

  • US-China tariff situation remains fluid; no CEO naming event confirmed despite rumors
  • Lucid still needs to deliver on production ramp and Gravity supply-chain resolution

The call

Date said
Apr 13, 2025
Deadline
Apr 18, 2025
Price at prediction
$25.30
Confidence
high
Specificity
specific

How it resolved

Status
miss
Resolution price
$23.80
Return
-5.9%
Notes
Deadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $29.1. Price: $23.80.
Why this resolved this way(resolution audit)
Reference price
$25.30 (anchored at quote date)
Target used
$29.10(split-adjusted from $2.91)
Deadline source
Explicit (extracted from quote)
Effective: Apr 18, 2025
Age at resolution
0.2 months(from publish date)
Resolution snapshot
$23.80 on Apr 18, 2025

Rule that fired

Deadline passed. Only 0% progress toward target $29.1. Price: $23.80.

Full rules: docs/resolution-spec.md.

Source

Lucid BREAKOUT Week Ahead 🔥 Shorts Are Running Scared | LCID Stock Analysis
Said on Apr 13, 2025@ 5:27Open on YouTube ↗
View full video analysisView YouTuber profile